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Safeway Monopoly: Does Anyone Actually Win? An Analysis.

Updated: Mar 08, 2021 16:20
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safeway monopoly

These Safeway Monopoly cards are the Glengarry leads. To you, they’re gold. But does anyone ever win so much as a 99-cent box of macaroni & cheese playing Safeway Monopoly? I’ve seen a lot of card-collecting and not much winning in the years that this highly complicated grocery store game of chance has been annually rebooted. So we put the Broke-Ass I-Team on the case to determine whether the Safeway Monopoly game ever produces any winning tickets, and what the odds are of even winning anything.

The Safeway Monopoly promotion goes from March 3 to May 4, 2021, and you can still claim winnings until May 27, 2021. Furthermore, it is not “Safeway Monopoly” — it’s technically called Shop, Play, Win and the cards were also being handed out all across the country at Albertsons, Vons, Jewel-Osco and a shit-ton of regional grocery chains you’ve never heard of.

There are 2,200 grocery stores nationwide handing out hundreds of millions of Monopoly game pieces. And this is why your chances of winning anything at this Monopoly game are so low.

safeway monopoly


Your odds of winning the million dollar prize in this game are 1 in 552 million for each ticket. Only two people have ever won the $1 million, one in 2017 (Dorchester, MA) and another in 2018 (Idaho Falls, ID). But one of our commenters won the $1,500 TV in 2017 as you can see in the Comments below!

The odds of winning all the other prizes in the Safeway Monopoly game are listed online and we’ve also compiled them below. We’ve done one data set for “Collect and Win” game board play for game piece collectors, and another set of odds for the “rare game pieces” where you win the whole prize instantly with one lucky ticket. Anecdotal reports on social media indicate that most people who’ve won anything were awarded prizes of $3 or less in value, or a $5 discount that required a $50 or more purchase.

The odds listed below are for individual tickets. You may accumulate many tickets between now and May 5, 2020. Each additional ticket you obtain will improve your odds.


$1,000,000 Cash  – 627,000,000 to 1

$250,000 Mortgage Payoff – 627,000,000 to 1

Groceries for Life – 627,000,000 to 1

$50,000 Vehicle of Choice – 209,000,000 to 1

Mortgage or Rent for a Year  – 125,400,000 to 1

Property Tax for a Year – 89,571,429 to 1

$5,000 Groceries – 8,957,143 to 1

$1,000 Cash – 6,270,000 to 1

Utilities for a Month – 2,090,000 to 1

$250 Grocery Gift Card – 696,667 to 1

$100 Grocery Gift Card – 501,600 to 1

$50 Grocery Gift Card – 313,500 to 1

$25 Just For U®/rewards! Cash 156,750 to 1

$10 Just For U®/rewards! Cash 78,375 to 1

$5 Just For U®/rewards! Cash 15,675 to 1

$2 Just For U®/rewards! Cash 3,135 to 1

$1 Just For U®/rewards! Cash 627 to 1

FREE Product  27 to 1


$1,000,000 Cash –  144,264,243 to 1

$100,000 Cash or Boat – 72, 132,122 to 1

$40,000 New Car –  48, 088, 081 to 1

$25,000 Home Theater – 36, 066, 061 to 1

$10,000 Cash –  18,033,030 to 1

$5,000 Cash – 5,770,570 to 1

$1,000 Cash – 721,321 to 1

$500 Portable Grill & Groceries – 288,528 to 1

$250 Wireless Headphones – 144,264 to 1

$100 Grocery Gift Card – 57,705 to 1

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Joe Kukura- Millionaire in Training

Joe Kukura is a two-bit marketing writer who excels at the homoerotic double-entendre. He is training to run a full marathon completely drunk and high, and his work has appeared in the New York Times and Wall Street Journal on days when their editors made particularly curious decisions.


  1. Holdin27
    May 12, 2016 at 1:40 pm

    That game was garbage, way too much work for what it was.

  2. henry
    May 17, 2016 at 5:26 pm

    won nothing on the game board. won lots of “two free game tickets” (many of which were of the sort where you had to enter the ticket number into the website. something to do while watching Big Bang theory, but if I had an actual life I wouldn’t have bothered.

    (oh …. lots of cents-off coupons for crap I don’t buy, too.)

    • gary oblock
      May 7, 2017 at 1:20 am

      I don’t have a life either but unless my wife bullied me into doing it I’d rather stare at a blank wall than touch a Safeway Monopoly game token again. I feel they don’t respect their customers if they treat them like this.

  3. CheckeredPresent
    April 12, 2017 at 2:05 pm

    lol almost no one takes those things, they’re too small and faint to read even if you know it’s a scam, would have been better for safeway to spend that money they spent hyping this lame game to have extra cashiers or maybe turn the fridge to the correct temp on the lunchmeats.

    • Pat
      April 22, 2017 at 8:09 pm

      I won $200 so far this year…

      • gary oblock
        May 7, 2017 at 1:17 am

        If you won $200 at this game you either shop way too much, are very lucky or you count all the junk things they give away like a “free” can of corn (yuck.)

      • Pat
        May 7, 2017 at 10:31 am

        Yes Gary you got it right. I counted all 50 free donuts and cans of corn into the equation. I have a family and do shop at Vons a lot. And yes,I won $200 cash, walked in and got it in 20’s. I also won 3 $5 gift cards. Are you satisfied with my explanation? You sound bitter…

      • gary oblock
        May 7, 2017 at 1:14 pm

        I try to eat healthier food than that so it’s a bit of an insult to me and customers like me to give things that we’d never eat in a million years. I also won one $5 gift card but considering the hours of messing with game pieces it took it was not worth it. Note, I even use a streamlined system to maximize the efficiency but that doesn’t make a big enough difference.

      • Pat
        May 7, 2017 at 1:36 pm

        Why are you on this site chatting if you are not interested in the game or shopping there? I’m confused.

      • gary oblock
        May 8, 2017 at 1:59 pm

        I was online hunting for proof (with queries like “safeway monopoly scam”) to convince my wife (who insists I waste my time on it) that this is a total waste of time when I ran across the comments. Of course I had to post something bash this stupid game when given an opportunity! If you are into grocery store bagels and canned corn then go for it and enjoy your spoils but the game is a joke for the rest of us.

      • Tom Berenguel
        May 7, 2017 at 8:32 pm

        My my, you do sound like a whining, petulant child. So you try to eat “healthier food” than the donuts or the cans of corn? Or both? I bet you are one of those “organic food” lovers, because, you know, no pesticides right? Lol. And if you really used a “streamlined system to maximize the efficiency” of…uh..opening tickets and seeing if you needed them for your board, why the hell did it take you “hours”? Sounds like your system is not efficient worth a damn. Moreover, since it seems you dislike wasting time, why are you wasting it here babbling about all your petty issues? Well, besides comic relief for the rest of us, of course. Yawn…

      • gary oblock
        May 8, 2017 at 2:33 pm

        Tom, nope, you’ve got it wrong. I’m hung up on quality. But I try to eat healthy too at least to the extent that I don’t stuff my face with donuts or eat super salty canned foods.

        By the way, you have no idea how many stupid game pieces my wife has managed to get her hands on… I tear open the pieces 4 cards at a time (any thicker you get problems.) I never separate the individual pieces nor touch the game board, rather I compare them to a list of missing pieces discarding duplicates and only keeping pieces on the list (which doesn’t happen anymore.) Note, anything more efficient would involve an ORC on scanned images and writing custom software… an even bigger rat hole.

      • Tom Berenguel
        May 8, 2017 at 3:35 pm

        Lol, how amusing, you bothered to respond. Well, more comic relief is always welcome.

        First, it is a donut or a bagel, so opt for the bagel. Don’t like either? Throw that one away with most of the rest. Second, get the UNSALTED whole kernel corn can instead of the salted one, same price for both. I know, imagine something so simple defeating your very narrow logic. But by all means, feel free to raise the “organic” holy grail and tell me all about pesticides and such nonsense.

        So this year I won the $1,500 TV (I’ll be damned), and besides “donuts and corn”: waffles, aluminum foil, Aspirin bottle, loaf of french bread, bag of salad, container of salt (your nemesis), 3 cooking school online courses thru Rouxbe lol, $40 to use at letlifebloom, the $5 and $25 gift card…

        And all that for what? When I go to the store I get the tickets and put them in my pocket. Oh my. My gal gets them as well and even my mom gives hers to me. I throw them in a pile at my desk. While I am watching a show or reading over, say, a soils report, I tear them open. Ahhh, multi-tasking, an amazing thing. It is mindless and I don’t lose time doing it. After it took my gal and I a little under an hour to fly through them and sort them.

        So once again, if you are taking “hours”, you really need to rethink things. Even better, just don’t play. And if you don’t play, then don’t whine about your “time” and “quality” as if they are compelling arguments that apply to those of us who don’t actually spend “hours” doing this like morons. After all, you just couldn’t help yourself and had to interject with: “If you won $200 at this game you either shop way too much, are very lucky or you count all the junk things they give away like a “free” can of corn (yuck.)”. First it is that the person in question “shop[s] way too much,” almost making them to be a problem. Then you say they must be “very lucky”…thank you Captain Obvious, a game of chance relying on…luck. Your powers of observing the obvious are…amazing. And then you bash the can of corn, which you explain is because it is SOOO SALTY…yet you can just go get the unsalted one like I have done.

        Well that was amusing for a few moments. It has passed now…yawn. Here, go download a poster of logical fallacies and enjoy your unsalted corn:

      • gary oblock
        May 9, 2017 at 12:52 am

        Canned vegetables (salted or not) are overcooked tasteless garbage. In order too sterilize the food that is canned it must be processed at a high temperature or have a significant salt, acid or sugar content. If I want to eat a vegetable I’ll buy it fresh or frozen thank you kindly. Note, if Safeway actually knew how to make a bagel I might have been tempted but they don’t.

        PS “you” really do shop too much or your family is huge. It also sounds like you entire life rotates around peeling open game tokens. I’ve got other things to do…

  4. gary oblock
    May 7, 2017 at 1:12 am

    I won the $5 prize I but didn’t know it was that hard. I also screwed up and misapplied a tag and thought I’d won $5000. I started thinking about buying an amazing custom ukulele or some camera lighting gear but when I realized what had happened I felt cheated and angry at Safeway for wasting my time.

  5. Marcie Marone
    May 7, 2017 at 12:22 pm

    So far I’ve won 3 free donuts or bagels (my choice!), 2 cans of corn, 1 loaf of Artisan bread and $10 in Fandango coins which I turned in to a special debit card that I was able to use in my online games. That’s with hundreds and hundreds of tickets. I have about 50 more numbers to enter, if I’m really lucky I’ll finish up with another $10 in Fandango tokens. I’m not even bothering to put these stupid little tickets on the board, it’s such an annoying game.

  6. Tom Berenguel
    May 7, 2017 at 8:22 pm

    Well I’ll be damned, I won the $1,500 TV…looks like I have to mail it in. Video plus certified mail seems to be in order.

  7. cageman43
    May 19, 2017 at 12:10 pm

    I cook a lot, so I shop a lot. This year I have “won” over 100 free items on the Safeway lottery. Anyone can win free stuff without having peel and stick the little stamps. It’s foolish not to open the tickets and look!

  8. francis_t
    May 20, 2017 at 1:51 pm

    I won $10 worth of groceries for about $30 worth of work opening the #&*&#*$& tickets

  9. Angel Collins
    April 20, 2020 at 11:05 am

    There is a list of winners you can look at and ppl do actually win. Also if you download the app or even just do them online it has what’s called track markers in the menu that let’s you check off the ones you got so you don’t have to glue them on right away.

  10. Marylou H
    April 20, 2020 at 11:05 am

    I won two items, (intant winner thing) 1. a reusable bag from Shutterfly 2. a poster 16 x 20. But you cant get them from the counter. No no. You have to go to their site… It was a promotion alright, give them all your information including a credit card for further orders and might i mention hard to get to and find these items and have them send them to you. And then you have to pay for postage on my free items, instant winner!… So all it did was promote me to their site and try and get me to buy from Shutterfly. Big RIP-OFF. signed -Angry in Oregon

  11. Sam
    April 20, 2020 at 7:22 am

    never tell me the odds….