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Safeway Monopoly: Does Anyone Actually Win? An Analysis.

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safeway monopoly

These Safeway Monopoly cards are the Glengarry leads. To you, they’re gold. But does anyone ever win so much as a 99-cent box of macaroni & cheese playing Safeway Monopoly? I’ve seen a lot of card-collecting and not much winning in the years that this highly complicated grocery store game of chance has been annually rebooted. So we put the Broke-Ass I-Team on the case to determine whether the Safeway Monopoly game ever produces any winning tickets, and what the odds are of even winning anything.

The Safeway Monopoly promotion goes from February 5th to May 5th, 2020, and you can still claim winnings until May 28th, 2020. Furthermore, it is not “Safeway Monopoly” — it’s technically called Shop, Play, Win and the cards were also being handed out all across the country at Albertsons, Vons, Jewel-Osco and a shit-ton of regional grocery chains you’ve never heard of.

There are 2,200 grocery stores nationwide handing out hundreds of millions of Monopoly game pieces. And this is why your chances of winning anything at this Monopoly game are so low.

safeway monopoly


Your odds of winning the million dollar prize in this game are 1 in 552 million for each ticket. Only two people have ever won the $1 million, one in 2017 (Dorchester, MA) and another in 2018 (Idaho Falls, ID). But one of our commenters won the $1,500 TV in 2017 as you can see in the Comments below!

The odds of winning all the other prizes in the Safeway Monopoly game are listed online and we’ve also compiled them below. We’ve done one data set for “Collect and Win” game board play for game piece collectors, and another set of odds for the “rare game pieces” where you win the whole prize instantly with one licky ticket. Anecdotal reports on social media indicate that most people who’ve won anything were awarded prizes of $3 or less in value, or a $5 discount that required a $50 or more purchase.

The odds listed below are for individual tickets. You may accumulate many tickets between now and May 5, 2020. Each additional ticket you obtain will improve your odds.


$1,000,000 Cash  – 552,501,000 to 1

$250,000 Vacation Home – 368,344,000 to 1

$100,000 Cash or Boat – 110,500,200 to 1

$40,000 Vehicle of Choice – 55,250,100 to 1

$25,000 Home Theater – 36,833,400 to 1

$10,000 Cash – 18,416,700 to 1

$5,000 Groceries – 22,100,040 to 1

$1,000 Cash – 4,420,008 to 1

$500 Portable Grill & Groceries – 1,473,336 to 1

$250 Grocery Gift Card – 1,105,002 to 1

$100 Grocery Gift Card – 442,001 to 1

$50 Grocery Gift Card – 221,000 to 1

$20 Grocery Gift Card – 55,250 to 1

$5 Cash – 1,105 to 1


$1,000,000 Cash –  144,264,243 to 1

$100,000 Cash or Boat – 72, 132,122 to 1

$40,000 New Car –  48, 088, 081 to 1

$25,000 Home Theater – 36, 066, 061 to 1

$10,000 Cash –  18,033,030 to 1

$5,000 Cash – 5,770,570 to 1

$1,000 Cash – 721,321 to 1

$500 Portable Grill & Groceries – 288,528 to 1

$250 Wireless Headphones – 144,264 to 1

$100 Grocery Gift Card – 57,705 to 1

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Joe Kukura- Millionaire in Training

Joe Kukura- Millionaire in Training

Joe Kukura is a two-bit marketing writer who excels at the homoerotic double-entendre. He is training to run a full marathon completely drunk and high, and his work has appeared in the New York Times and Wall Street Journal on days when their editors made particularly curious decisions.

1 Comment

  1. Heather Thomas
    August 17, 2020 at 10:03 pm — Reply

    I won the $250 Family Picnic in 2019 from an Oregon store. They had a difficult time at the store awarding it because no-one knew how. So I called the marketing company and they were confused also. Eventually, I was given a gift card to use in the S@##$ store. Everyone really did seem surprised I won!!!

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