How The Democrats Can Still Win The Senate

Image: jthoel via Flickr

It looked like the Democrats blew their supposed “blue wave” to take the Senate on Election Night, but they actually do still have a very narrow path to ditch Mitch McConnell as Senate majority leader. There are still three essentially undetermined races in the Senate, and if all three go the Democrats’ way, they will barely eke out a Senate majority.

But it would take a couple months. Here’s how it needs to shake down.

Image: Google

Right now the Republicans have 48 Senate seats, and the Democrats have 45 (but with Bernie Sanders and Maine’s Angus King caususing with the Democrats, basically making it 48-47). While there are five races still technically not determined, the asshole Republican candidates appear poised to win two of them; Thom Tillis in North Carolina and Dan Sullivan in Alaska.

But if the Dems win the other three remaining races, they take the Senate majority. And it’s not an unlikely scenario, either.

U.S. Sen. @GaryPeters will win reelection over John James by a thin margin. His 11,000-vote margin only gets larger as Detroit, Grand Rapids and Flint processes more AV ballots.

— MIRSnews.com (@MIRSnews) November 4, 2020

MICHIGAN

Some Michigan news outlets are already calling this one a Demoratic win, but it is not yet confirmed that sitting senator Gary Peters has won reelection for his seat.

@ossoff can still beat @SenThomTillis then https://t.co/tMurXYyfbF

— Helen Stockham (@prnces220) November 4, 2020

GEORGIA    

Democrat Jon Ossoff is still within striking range of knocking off Republican David Perdue (the guy who racistly mispronounced Kamala Harris’ name).

Rafael Warnock, endorsed by Bernie Sanders, is going to a runoff election for the Georgia Senate seat. The balance of the Senate is not over yet.

— DEFUND DC MPD ✡??? (@TitusAaronicus) November 4, 2020

GEORGIA, PART II

This would take until January, but it could very easily happen. Democtratic candidate The Rev. Dr. Raphael G. Warnock is currently in the lead, but he won’t win by 50%, so there will be a runoff in January. He’ll probably run against insider trading Kelly Loeffler, whom he is currently beating by about 300,000 votes, so a win is not implausible.

The 2018 midterms were a blue wave, but we didn’t realize it until a few days after. 2020 could present the same situation, and Mitch could still get ditched.