Safeway Monopoly: Does Anyone Actually Win? An Analysis.

These Safeway Monopoly cards are the Glengarry leads. To you, they’re gold. But does anyone ever win so much as a 99-cent box of macaroni & cheese playing Safeway Monopoly? I’ve seen a lot of card-collecting and not much winning in the years that this highly complicated grocery store game of chance has been annually rebooted. So we put the Broke-Ass I-Team on the case to determine whether the Safeway Monopoly game ever produces any winning tickets, and what the odds are of even winning anything.

The Safeway Monopoly promotion goes from March 3 to May 4, 2021, and you can still claim winnings until May 27, 2021. Furthermore, it is not “Safeway Monopoly” — it’s technically called Shop, Play, Win and the cards were also being handed out all across the country at Albertsons, Vons, Jewel-Osco and a shit-ton of regional grocery chains you’ve never heard of.

There are 2,200 grocery stores nationwide handing out hundreds of millions of Monopoly game pieces. And this is why your chances of winning anything at this Monopoly game are so low.

ODDS OF WINNING ANYTHING AT ALBERTSON’S/SAFEWAY MONOPOLY

Your odds of winning the million dollar prize in this game are 1 in 552 million for each ticket. Only two people have ever won the $1 million, one in 2017 (Dorchester, MA) and another in 2018 (Idaho Falls, ID). But one of our commenters won the $1,500 TV in 2017 as you can see in the Comments below!

The odds of winning all the other prizes in the Safeway Monopoly game are listed online and we’ve also compiled them below. We’ve done one data set for “Collect and Win” game board play for game piece collectors, and another set of odds for the “rare game pieces” where you win the whole prize instantly with one lucky ticket. Anecdotal reports on social media indicate that most people who’ve won anything were awarded prizes of $3 or less in value, or a $5 discount that required a $50 or more purchase.

The odds listed below are for individual tickets. You may accumulate many tickets between now and May 5, 2020. Each additional ticket you obtain will improve your odds.

‘COLLECT AND WIN’ GAME BOARD ODDS

$1,000,000 Cash  – 627,000,000 to 1

$250,000 Mortgage Payoff – 627,000,000 to 1

Groceries for Life – 627,000,000 to 1

$50,000 Vehicle of Choice – 209,000,000 to 1

Mortgage or Rent for a Year  – 125,400,000 to 1

Property Tax for a Year – 89,571,429 to 1

$5,000 Groceries – 8,957,143 to 1

$1,000 Cash – 6,270,000 to 1

Utilities for a Month – 2,090,000 to 1

$250 Grocery Gift Card – 696,667 to 1

$100 Grocery Gift Card – 501,600 to 1

$50 Grocery Gift Card – 313,500 to 1

$25 Just For U®/rewards! Cash – 156,750 to 1

$10 Just For U®/rewards! Cash – 78,375 to 1

$5 Just For U®/rewards! Cash – 15,675 to 1

$2 Just For U®/rewards! Cash – 3,135 to 1

$1 Just For U®/rewards! Cash – 627 to 1

FREE Product  – 27 to 1

‘RARE GAME PIECE’ INSTANT WIN ODDS

$1,000,000 Cash –  144,264,243 to 1

$100,000 Cash or Boat – 72, 132,122 to 1

$40,000 New Car –  48, 088, 081 to 1

$25,000 Home Theater – 36, 066, 061 to 1

$10,000 Cash –  18,033,030 to 1

$5,000 Cash – 5,770,570 to 1

$1,000 Cash – 721,321 to 1

$500 Portable Grill & Groceries – 288,528 to 1

$250 Wireless Headphones – 144,264 to 1

$100 Grocery Gift Card – 57,705 to 1